Macro Overview
RBA December board meeting confirmed January rate cut as highly probable, with markets pricing 75bps through 2026. Festive retail sales exceeded expectations with online and foot traffic both strong. Global equity breadth expanded with small and mid-caps outperforming.
ASX Stocks to Watch
Wesfarmers (WES)
WES gained on strong holiday trading and department store sales recovery. Coles earnings delivered with supply chain improvements supporting margins. At $70.20, the diversified retailer offers exposure to consumer recovery.
Coles Group (COL)
COL climbed on supermarket margin stability and volume growth through holiday season. Loyalty program expansion drives customer retention. At $19.80, the food retail exposure offers dividend stability.
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)
LYC rallied on rare earth price strength and positive China export demand. Supply chain security concerns support pricing power. At $8.50, the critical minerals play offers volatility with long-term positioning benefits.
Property Signal
Christmas period property market becomes dormant with transaction activity minimal. Year-end property valuations reach peaks with market sentiment at highest in 12 months.
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