Macro Overview
Australian retail sales surprised to the upside with consumer confidence improving on rate hold expectations. Global growth concerns eased following better-than-expected US employment data. Copper prices rebounded above $10,000/tonne on demand recovery expectations from China stimulus hopes.
ASX Stocks to Watch
Reject Shop (ALU)
ALU bounced 7% after announcing positive trading updates and same-store sales growth. Consumer discretionary spending accelerated in spring months with discount retail outperforming. Near $7.20, the turnaround story offers opportunity for patient capital; watch earnings upgrades.
Rio Tinto (RIO)
RIO rallied on copper strength and positive production reports from Oyu Tolgoi development. The mining giant's diversified portfolio benefits from broader commodity recovery. At $128, the combination of yield and commodity leverage appeals to growth-orientated income investors.
JB Hi-Fi (JBH)
JBH recovered on improving consumer electronics demand and online penetration gains. Back-to-school and spring product cycles supported sales momentum. At $42, the retailer offers exposure to consumer recovery with reasonable valuation on normalized earnings.
Property Signal
Spring selling intensity peaks this week with strong clearance rates across Sydney and Melbourne exceeding 65%. Investor demand for renovation-ready properties increases as construction costs stabilize.
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